July 25, 2022

Modest Development in Texas Manufacturing Exercise Continues

What’s New This Month

For this month’s survey, Texas enterprise executives have been requested supplemental questions on labor market situations. Outcomes for these questions from the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey, Texas Service Sector Outlook Survey and Texas Retail Outlook Survey have been launched collectively. Learn the particular questions outcomes.


Development in Texas manufacturing facility exercise continued at a modest tempo in July, in response to enterprise executives responding to the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey. The manufacturing index, a key measure of state manufacturing situations, was largely unchanged at 3.8, a studying properly beneath common however nonetheless indicative of development.

Different measures of producing exercise painted a blended image once more this month. The new orders index remained detrimental at -9.2, down from -7.3 in June, suggesting an extra lower in demand. The expansion fee of orders index additionally remained detrimental however edged as much as -12.0. The capability utilization index was unchanged at 3.5, and the shipments index ticked as much as 4.3.

Perceptions of broader enterprise situations worsened in July. The common enterprise exercise index declined 5 factors to -22.6. The corporate outlook index posted a fifth consecutive detrimental studying however moved up from -20.2 to -10.8. The outlook uncertainty index got here off its two-year excessive of 43.7, falling to 33.7.

Labor market measures continued to point sturdy employment development and longer workweeks. The employment index moved up three factors to 17.9, a studying considerably above its collection common of seven.7. Twenty-eight % of corporations famous web hiring, whereas 10 % famous web layoffs. The hours labored index additionally remained above common however edged down from 11.8 to 9.5.

Costs and wages continued to improve however at a extra reasonable tempo. The uncooked supplies costs index fell 19 factors to 38.4, a studying nonetheless above its common of 28.0 however far beneath its excessive of 83.3 final November. The completed items costs index additionally moved down, from 33.8 to 29.3, remaining elevated however properly beneath the highs seen final fall. The wages and advantages index got here in at 38.1, down 12 factors from June however nonetheless markedly increased than its 20.4 common.

Expectations relating to future manufacturing exercise have been blended. The longer term manufacturing index climbed 10 factors to 13.6. The future common enterprise exercise index rose eight factors however remained detrimental at -17.7, suggesting that extra producers anticipate worsened exercise six months from now than improved. Different measures of future manufacturing exercise, like capability utilization and new orders, pushed additional constructive in July.

Subsequent launch: Monday, August 29

Knowledge have been collected July 12–20, and 87 Texas producers responded to the survey. The Dallas Fed conducts the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey month-to-month to acquire a well timed evaluation of the state’s manufacturing facility exercise. Corporations are requested whether or not output, employment, orders, costs and different indicators elevated, decreased or remained unchanged over the earlier month.

Survey responses are used to calculate an index for every indicator. Every index is calculated by subtracting the proportion of respondents reporting a lower from the proportion reporting a rise. When the share of corporations reporting a rise exceeds the share reporting a lower, the index shall be higher than zero, suggesting the indicator has elevated over the prior month. If the share of corporations reporting a lower exceeds the share reporting a rise, the index shall be beneath zero, suggesting the indicator has decreased over the prior month. An index shall be zero when the variety of corporations reporting a rise is the same as the variety of corporations reporting a lower. Knowledge have been seasonally adjusted as mandatory.

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